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According to the USGS/NEIC on-line database in the first half of 2008 there are two earthquakes that belong either to M8.0+ or M7.5+ -
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Date and Time |
Lat |
Lon |
Depth |
Magnitudes (mb, MS) |
Prediction |
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2008/02/20 8:08 |
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95.964 |
26 |
6.5 |
7.5 |
M8-only |
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2008/05/12 6:28 |
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103.322 |
19 |
6.9 |
8.1 |
Failure-to-predict |
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According to the 2008b Update of the M8-MSc predictions dated Thursday, January 10, 2008 -
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The first event falls within the limits of M8 TIPs for M7.5+ in CI# 31-33 (NORTHERN SUMATERA, INDONESIA) scoring a success to overall statistics of the first approximation and, in the absence of reduced area of alert, a failure-to-predict to that of the second one.
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The second event, the disastrous Wencheng (Sichuan, China) earthquake, was not predicted in our Test: its epicenter hits CIs ## 250 (SICHUAN, CHINA) and 253 (YUNNAN, CHINA) in testing aimed at M8.0+ and is too far from CIs in testing aimed at M7.5+.
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