California

Current state:

There were no earthquakes with M 6.3 during last 18 months

The results of SSE prediction 1989 - 2008.7

Origin Earthquake Will a subsequent shock occur ? Outcome
of prediction
Note Details

Loma-Prieta 7.1

10/18/1989

NO

Confirmed

   

Mendocino 6.9

7/13/1991

NO

Confirmed

   

Mendocino 7.1

8/17/1991

NO

Confirmed

   

Joshua Tree 6.3

4/23/1992

Landers 7.6

6/28/1992

Northridge 6.8

1/17/1994

YES

 

YES

 

NO

Confirmed

 

False alarm

 

Confirmed

Landers is predicted

 

M=7.6

 

Northridge M=6.8 occurred 19 days after end of alarm

Details

Mendocino 7.1

4/25/1992

NO

Confirmed

   

Mendocino 7.1

9/1/1994

Mendocino 6.8

2/19/1995

NO

 

NO

Failure to predict

 

Confirmed

Earthquake with M=6.8 occurred

 

California 6.3

Nevada border

9/12/1994

YES

Confirmed

Earthquake with M=5.5 occurred

 

Hector Mine 7.4

10/16/1999

NO

Confirmed

 

Details

San-Simeon 6.4

12/22/2003

YES

False alarm

Parkfield earthquake occur 17km out of alarm area

Details